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Blackjack

Blackjack is beatable with perfect basic strategy and optional counting. The house edge shrinks to near zero when you never deviate from the math on hit, stand, double, and split.

Quick winning principles

  • Memorize basic strategy — never take insurance.
  • Always split aces and 8s; never split 10s or 5s.
  • Double on 11 vs dealer 2-10; on 10 vs 2-9.
  • Assume the hole card is a 10 unless counting says otherwise.

Ideal strategy

  1. 1

    Basic strategy is a complete decision chart derived from billions of simulated hands. Deviation costs roughly 0.5% edge per common mistake.

  2. 2

    Soft hands (ace as 11): double soft 17-18 vs dealer 3-6; stand on soft 19+. Treat them as flexible totals, not fixed numbers.

  3. 3

    Pair splitting: split 2s and 3s vs weak dealer upcards; never split 4s (8 total is better for doubling). Split 9s vs 2-9 except 7.

  4. 4

    Surrender where offered: hard 16 vs 10 and 15 vs 10 are canonical give-up spots that save long-run money.

  5. 5

    Hi-Lo counting basics: +1 low cards, -1 high cards, bet spread with true count. Penetration and table rules matter more than genius.

  6. 6

    Bankroll discipline: even with an edge, variance is brutal. 200+ max bets in reserve or don't play seriously.